Saturday, August 16, 2008

For 15 Years Of Home Ownership Gains Were From 12% To 15%

Category: Finance, Real Estate.

The latest report from PMI Mortgage Insurance company looks at real estate trends. During that period of time, if you owned a home for 10 years or more, you profited 100% of the time.



The report indicated that if you owned a home from 1986 thru 2005 in 50 of the largest metropolitan areas, you did very well. If you owned a home during this period for 7 years, the percentage of homeowners that profited were 95% . In the top 50 metropolitan areas of the country, 48 of them face a greater chance of a price decline this quarter then they did last quarter. The economics now are shifting. PMI assigns a risk index number to differfent markets. A risk score of 500 or more means the geographic area has a high risk of price declines in the real estate market.


All 50 of the major metropolitan areas, have seen their, except Chicago risk index number go up. There are now 14 of 50 areas that have a risk score of 500 or more, which means that metropolitan area has a 50% chance of price decline during the next two years. The metropolitan area that saw its risk increase the greatest was Minneapolis, MN, which saw an increase in its risk index of 90 points. The average score has increased from 261 last quarter to 284 this quarter. Of the metropolitan areas with the highest risk, seven of top ten are in California. First lets look at the volitile markets.


The report looks at volitile markets and stable markets. These include San Francisco, CA. And Dallas, TX. Los Angeles, CA. We are looking at a time period from 1986- 200 In San Francisco the return for any 5 year period ranged from a gain of 50% to a loss of 10% . Families staying in their homes for 15 years did not incur any losses. The median return was 33% .


Their gains were from 14% to 25% . The median return for a 5 year period was positive at 25% , however, losses ranged up to 41% in some cases. Home buyers in Los Angeles saw the greatest losses during this time period. A family that stayed in its home for 15 years in LA saw a return of 10% to 24% . After 5 years of home ownership, homeowners saw their gains max out at 22% . In the Dallas market trends were seen that were not seen in other markets.


Families who owned homes for 10 years or more did not see losses, but they did not always see gains either. The stable markets looked at were Atlanta, Nashville and Cleveland. During this time period gains ranged from 0% to 24% . Atlanta had a median gain of 20% for 5 years of home ownership. In Nashville a 5 year homeownership ranged in gains from 6% to 25% . For 15 years the gain narrowed to 11% to 15% .


FOr 15 years of home ownership the gains were from 11% to 15% . For 15 years of home ownership gains were from 12% to 15% . Home ownership in Cleveland for 5 years showed an increase from 7% to 23% .

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